Operation Unthinkable (1945): Western Allies vs USSR

1945

Operation Unthinkable (1945): Western Allies vs USSR
Photo: US government photographer · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons

On raw force balance, the model gives USA, Britain & Allies (in Europe) a 51% edge. How that verdict held up against history — below.

The balance of forces

USA, Britain & Allies (in Europe)USSR (in Europe)
4,500,000Personnel
6,500,000
11,000Tanks
12,000
16,000Aircraft
15,000
×1.15Quality factor (est.)×1.1

Strategic air power, atomic monopoly weeks away, naval supremacy — versus — The largest battle-hardened land army in history at its absolute peak.

What actually happened

Churchill actually ordered this plan drafted in May 1945. His own planners concluded what the model shows: no quick victory was possible against a Red Army with a three-to-two edge in divisions, and «total war» would be required with «no limit» to its length. The study was shelved, the armies demobilized, and the standoff it described hardened into the Cold War instead.

All scenarios

Figures are approximate campaign-start estimates from open historical sources; the quality factor is our editorial assessment of doctrine and training. Compare these countries' modern armies in the simulator.