Gulf War (1991): Coalition vs Iraq

1991

Gulf War (1991): Coalition vs Iraq
Photo: Unknown authorUnknown author · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons

On raw force balance, the model gives US-led Coalition a 80% edge. How that verdict held up against history — below.

The balance of forces

US-led CoalitionIraq
956,000Personnel
650,000
3,600Tanks
4,200
2,250Aircraft
700
—Artillery pieces
3,000
100Warships
—
×1.4Quality factor (est.)×0.7

Stealth, precision weapons, AWACS, GPS — a generation ahead — versus — Battle-worn conscripts, export-grade equipment, rigid Soviet-style defense.

What actually happened

Iraq fielded more tanks than the Coalition and the world's fourth-largest army; the model still picks the Coalition, and reality was faster than anyone predicted. Thirty-eight days of air campaign disassembled Iraqi command, then the ground war lasted exactly 100 hours. Coalition combat deaths were under 300 against tens of thousands of Iraqi. It became the reference case of what a technology generation gap does on an open battlefield.

All scenarios

Figures are approximate campaign-start estimates from open historical sources; the quality factor is our editorial assessment of doctrine and training. Compare these countries' modern armies in the simulator.